Welcome to the biggest week (or so) of the year in Florida politics.
Obviously, the ongoing federal government shutdown—and everything it entails—is a significant backdrop.
First, the weekend marked the start of open enrollment under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Americans who rely on Obamacare for their health coverage are now discovering the extent to which they are facing skyrocketing costs, a core issue in Democrats’ demands in Washington, D.C. Without extending the premium tax credits under the ACA, data suggests consumers could see premiums spike, in some cases tripling.
At the same time, Saturday was the first day that Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) recipients did not receive their monthly grocery allotment, marking the first tangible pain point from the shutdown.
But even without these additional headaches, it’s shaping up to be a big week in Florida politics.
### Hope Florida Scandal Developments Expected
It’s increasingly likely we will soon get information from the grand jury investigating the Hope Florida scandal. Reporters, including myself, received a BCC email two Fridays ago from State Attorney Jack Campbell, indicating that whatever information is released will come to all media simultaneously.
Political ripple effects are inevitable. What happens with the grand jury could impact Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, who has long been rumored to be considering a run for Governor in 2026.
The Hope Florida scandal centers around a $10 million donation to the Hope Florida Foundation from Medicaid settlement funds, money that was ultimately used to oppose last year’s adult-use cannabis referendum.
The grand jury could result in indictments related to the controversy, or it might choose not to indict anyone and instead present a report, allowing prosecutors to decide on next steps.
Whatever the outcome, this will be major news—especially considering that Hope Florida is a key initiative led by First Lady Casey DeSantis.
### Gubernatorial Race Heats Up
Adding fuel to the 2026 speculation, Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings is expected to officially announce his bid for Governor this week. As a Democrat, his announcement will intensify the competition for former Republican Congressman-turned-Democrat David Jolly, who has been actively campaigning statewide.
Meanwhile, there is growing anticipation about whether State Representative Kevin Steele will enter the race for Chief Financial Officer to challenge incumbent Blaise Ingoglia, reportedly encouraged by the Trump administration.
### Local Elections and Political Movements
Significant elections are also underway this week in Miami, Orlando, and other Florida cities. In Miami, voters will choose a Mayor and two City Commissioners. Meanwhile, Orlando sees a rare open City Commission seat up for grabs—the first opening in two decades.
Though nothing is on the ballot this year in St. Petersburg, political observers are watching closely. Former Republican Governor and former Democratic U.S. Representative Charlie Crist is reportedly considering a mayoral run next year to challenge incumbent Ken Welch. There are also hints of potential political maneuverings signaling a possible comeback for Crist.
### Ripple Effects Beyond Florida
Beyond Florida, statewide elections in New Jersey and Virginia this week are drawing attention. Florida Democrats are looking to these races for signs of hope heading into the Midterms. Virginia is a key bellwether, with Democrat Abigail Spanberger consistently polling strongly ahead of her Republican opponent, current Virginia Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears.
### What’s Next?
Given all these developments, buckle up—Florida politics aren’t ready to break for the holidays just yet. Stay tuned as this dynamic and consequential week unfolds.
https://floridapolitics.com/archives/763462-its-a-big-week-in-florida-politics-but-how-big-is-big/
