This signal just cemented Bitcoin’s bear market
The post This signal just cemented Bitcoin’s bear market appeared com. Bitcoin (BTC) may have confirmed a decisive shift into bearish territory after slipping beneath a key long-term technical threshold closely followed by seasoned market analysts. The 730-day simple moving average (SMA), a two-year trend gauge that has historically marked transitions into Bitcoin bear markets, now sits at roughly $81,250, according to insights shared by cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez in an X post on November 22. Bitcoin investor tool. The indicator, often referred to as an “investor tool,” overlays Bitcoin’s multiyear price trajectory with the 730-day SMA and its five-times multiple. Previous cycles show that losing the lower band has typically aligned with major cyclical peaks already being set and market sentiment gradually turning risk-off. The latest reading reinforces that pattern, where with Bitcoin trading around the mid-$80,000 range, the breakdown signals weakening momentum after a long-running uptrend. Notably, the two-year SMA functions as a structural line of support during bull phases, and falling beneath it has historically flagged macro exhaustion. While not a guarantee of deeper losses, the move suggests the market may now be entering a prolonged cool-down phase, especially as broader risk sentiment remains fragile and liquidity trends soften. Bitcoin key price levels to watch This outlook comes as Bitcoin attempted to reclaim the $85,000 level after a week of heavy selling. Analysis by Ted Pillows in an X post on November 22 suggested that failure to recover the $85,000 resistance zone could send Bitcoin back toward $80,000. Bitcoin price analysis chart.